As the Eurozone stumbles from crisis to crisis and the continent’s leadership stumble from emergency summit to emergency summit it is worth reminding ourselves that the issues they face were predictable and, with earlier action, avoidable.
As they continue to falter, as they struggle for solutions, Europe’s politicians provide invaluable learning for all in business.
A journey through the evolution of the Eurozone Crisis shows a number of stages where bad strategy and incompetent leadership have meant that, far from resolving the crisis (as numerous pronouncements have declared), its continuation and downward spiral have been guaranteed to continue.
However, that bad strategy and incompetent leadership provides plenty of lessons for those in business hoping to avoid their own crises or, if facing difficulty, in how to handle it. Here are four of them:
STRUCTURE SERVES STRATEGY
It is human nature to want to define structure early in a project, even one as large as the Euro. It is also a mistake. From its outset the Euro project has suffered from a rush to establish the structure prior to clearly defining why it was even a good idea and how it would work.
In this rush to structure, unsound decisions were made based on wishes rather than facts. Primary among these was the failure to recognise the limitations of some southern European economies. Too late Jacques Delors, the man generally heralded as the architect of the single currency, recognised this when he said in December last year; “in the 1990s leaders chose to turn a blind eye to the economic weaknesses of some member states,” before going on to say (of the rush to launch without proper strategy in place), “the finance ministers did not want to see anything disagreeable which they would be forced to deal with.”
Good strategy faces up to and addresses the issues. Good structure services good strategy in the most effective, efficient and economical way feasible. Neither has been the case from the outset for the Euro project.
HAVING A STRATEGY IS NOT THE SAME AS HAVING A GOOD STRATEGY
The rush to structure when launching the Euro created the need to force-fit strategy to pre-defined structure. This limited the quality of any strategy then or since. This lack of quality strategy has continued throughout the current crisis. Delors somewhat understated the case when he said, “the response now the issues had surfaced had generally been inadequate.”
The fact of the matter is that throughout the current crisis Europe’s politicians have failed to respond adequately with strategy to target the real issues. The growing likelihood that Greece will have to leave the Euro and the worrying downgrading of many Spanish banks, come fully five months after those same politicians ignored the need for strategy to address the current crisis, instead opting for structure to service the (hoped for) future. It comes ten months after the first Greek bail-out was announced as a great triumph. Finger crossing has no place in good strategy.
NOT ALL STRATEGY IS VISION-BASED
In December last year, following a week of frantic discussions, Europe’s ‘political management’ declared they had come up with a solution which safeguarded the future of the Euro. They had a vision of where the Euro should be and put in place a new structure to service that future. What they overlooked was (is) that the Eurozone Crisis is of the present, the here and now. What they failed to address was the current issue(s) facing the Euro, instead designing the future. Where Issue-Based Strategy was desperately required, they opted for a kind of Vision-Based Strategy (albeit more structure than strategy).
That we arrived where we are today; deeper into crisis with the threat of at least one, if not more, nations potentially having to leave the Euro should surprise no one. It certainly will not surprise any semi-competent strategist who has been looking on.
MANAGEMENT AND LEADERSHIP ARE NOT THE SAME THING
Crisis summit after crisis summit has seen Europe’s politicians enter into discussions on a continent-wide issue with the mind-set that they are there to manage their own national interests. And why shouldn’t they, that is what they were elected to do. Unfortunately this left the door closed to genuine leadership; leadership designed to offer a strategy for a solution which would work and which would take the rest with them.
And that is a fundamental problem for the Euro, that the flawed structure relies on politicians elected to manage the interests of individual countries and economies within the Euro, not the Euro itself. Where managers look after and make best use of the resources at their disposal (i.e. service structure), leaders recognise issues, find solutions and take people with them in addressing issues and delivering solutions (i.e. service strategy).
WHERE TO NOW?
Until Europe’s politicians realise the need to include genuine leadership and good strategy alongside the managers and the economists the crisis is likely to continue its downward spiral. Indeed, through their bad strategy and incompetent leadership those politicians might already have signed the Euro’s death warrant, at least in its current format.
For business the lessons are clear:
- · Have a clear, well researched, non-delusional strategy in place prior to designing the structure best suited to its delivery.
- · Understand that simply having (or claiming to have) a strategy is not sufficient for the pursuit of anything bar mediocrity or failure. Good strategy goes far further.
- · If faced with a crisis face it head-on and honestly. There is no point in ignoring it to design a future which might not exist. There is no gain to be made by denying errors made in the past. Vision-Based Strategy is great for getting to the future but if you are facing serious difficulties in the present only an Issue-Based Strategy will do.
- · Make sure your board (or decision-making group) is functional; include management and leadership, economist and strategist. Leave one or more out at your peril.
Also on the Eurozone Crisis from Cowan Global:
The Eurozone Crisis – The Management Of The Continuation Of Mediocrity By The Unaware (3rd December 2011).
The Eurozone Crisis – Still No Strategy And Still No Real Fix (10th December 2011).
Eurozone Credit Downgrades Should Surprise No One (14th January 2012).
© Jim Cowan, Cowan Global Limited, May 2012
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CHARITY TAX U-TURN A LESSON IN POOR CONSULTATION
31 05 2012Photo: The Telegraph
There are few advantages to having an incompetent government however one is the learning they frequently provide not just in politics but in business and in life in general (as often highlighted in this blog).
The latest lesson provided by the UK’s government follows today’s announcement of a U-turn on the so-called ‘Charity Tax’ which had been announced in the last budget. This lesson is one which will reduce resource wastage while providing significantly improved decision-making and strategy through simply being better informed.
‘Consultation’ – it is a well-used word. It describes an action which, when undertaken well, informs us and allows us to make sound decisions based on quality data. It can be as simple as asking your friends what they would like to drink before going to the bar. It can be as complex as understanding the rule book, the competition and the science before designing next season’s Formula One car. In both instances the outcomes will undoubtedly be of far higher quality if the information required is gathered before embarking on the task rather than after. In both instances foresight informs sound decisions where hindsight tells you where you went wrong.
No organisation or group whether business, government or friends at the local will devise high quality strategy without being sufficiently well-informed on relevant topics whether they be markets, competitors, public opinion or whether your friend wants whisky or vodka.
In its last budget, the UK Government announced a cap on the tax-relief for philanthropic donations. The government saw this as closing a tax loop-hole but, unfortunately for them, neither the British public nor the affected charities saw it this way. It did not take very long before the (populist) intention of collecting more tax revenue from millionaires was rebranded by public, charities and media alike as a tax on charity and the term ‘Charity Tax’ was born.
It was never going to be a popular measure and, bowing to public pressure, the government agreed to consult. The result of that consultation is today’s U-turn announcement with Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne saying; “it is clear from our conversations with charities that any kind of cap could damage donations, so we’ve listened.”
But here’s a thought George, next time why not consult with those likely to be affected before making the announcement, prior to drafting policy, doing the sums and telling the nation in your budget speech?
This is today’s lesson for business (and others) courtesy of HM Government: The best time to consult on direction, new policy, product launches, customer wants and needs and…….pretty much everything else except reaction, is before committing.
In business terms we need to know whether a new product is wanted or needed, how much people will pay, what, where and who the competition are, etc, etc, etc. Get it wrong and it can be a very expensive process, if not financially almost certainly in wasted time (which will have a value whether costed or not).
In the Third Sector, without consulting fully and properly with (for example) volunteers before taking decisions can have disastrous effects as a workforce paid in-kind by their passion, turn their backs and walk away. All for the sake acting proactively and asking in advance in place of reacting and asking different questions after making an uninformed or ill-informed decision. It is the difference between; “what do you enjoy about volunteering and helping us out?” and “why did you stop coming along to help?” It is basic; it is Consultation 101.
If you are developing a new strategy (or revising an existing one), devising a new policy or making any choices, the time to consult is before you make the important decisions at a time when gathering intelligence and collecting data will help to inform your decision-making process; the better the consultation, the less the likelihood of getting decisions wrong.
Cut corners when consulting or avoid it altogether and the end result is the same whether government, business or trip to the bar; decisions based on narrow opinion, guess-work and little else.
There is a well-worn phrase which describes this perfectly – “look before you leap!”
Or, as I frequently remind clients; there is no such thing as a stupid question. The stupid thing is not asking the questions to which you need answers at the time you need them in order to inform your decisions.
Who’s going to tell George?
© Jim Cowan, Cowan Global Limited, May 2012
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